Confronting sustainable intensification with uncertainty and extreme values on smallholder tropical farms

نویسندگان

چکیده

Abstract Sustainable intensification of agricultural lands might reconcile the conservation tropical forest with food production, but in-depth assessments considering uncertainty and extreme values are missing. Uncertainty prohibits mapping probabilities to potential future states or ranking these in terms their likelihood. This turn hampers assessment possible decision outcomes. Here, we use simulations investigate how may influence social acceptability alternative land-use strategies halt deforestation (including sustainable intensification), based on indicators representing farmer satisfaction. The results show (worst values) for satisfaction undermine adoption intensification. We demonstrate that a pure strategy leads lower outperforms maintains security. Pure performed better, i.e., could secure higher satisfaction, than across range indicator groups. suggests strong barriers achieving Using subsidies breaks dominance by enhancing economic returns discuss importance access labor farmers’ preferences already cleared lands, which achieved worst under conclude any requires careful consideration values.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Sustainability Science

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['1862-4065', '1862-4057']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.1007/s11625-022-01133-y